10 odds today

10 odds slip of the day

The first 10 odds slip is chosen on 2 Nov at 10:40 AM ET.

10 odds slip: No slips graded yet.

Every pick and slip is frozen when chosen, priced at a real book, and graded against the final score, losses included; the profit is a flat $100 at the price taken. Every daily pick and its result →

Its price says the books expect it to land less than one time in 10. The model shows its own chance with each day’s slip (its legs’ confidences multiplied), and the record on this page is the real count. Expect it to lose more often than it wins.

The win rate a price needs to make money. At +900 (decimal 10.0) a slip returns $1,000 per $100 when it wins, so it has to land 10.0% of the time just to break even.

Every leg has to win and the chances multiply: legs at 70% each make 34.3% over three legs and 11.8% over 6 legs. A losing run of several days is normal for a slip like this.

At 10:40 AM ET the builder tries every combination of today’s priced calls, one per game and up to 6 legs, and keeps the one with the highest chance of reaching +900, using each call’s calibrated confidence and its real book price. Basketball’s main totals calls are left out: their score is a setup strength, not a chance of winning. Nobody picks by hand and nothing changes once chosen.